Pre-tourney Rankings
Big East
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
4 Pittsburgh 100.0%   1   27 - 5 15 - 3 27 - 5 15 - 3 +18.6      +9.4 4 +9.2 5 62.8 294 +19.1 5 +20.5 1
8 Notre Dame 100.0%   2   26 - 6 14 - 4 26 - 6 14 - 4 +16.8      +8.6 7 +8.2 9 63.9 266 +18.9 6 +19.3 2
11 Louisville 100.0%   4   25 - 9 12 - 6 25 - 9 12 - 6 +16.1      +8.0 13 +8.1 10 70.1 119 +15.3 15 +16.0 5
15 Syracuse 100.0%   4   26 - 7 12 - 6 26 - 7 12 - 6 +15.7      +7.8 15 +7.8 15 67.9 171 +17.0 11 +16.2 4
16 Connecticut 100.0%   3   26 - 9 9 - 9 26 - 9 9 - 9 +15.1      +7.6 16 +7.5 16 67.6 181 +17.5 8 +12.2 9
17 West Virginia 100.0%   5   20 - 11 11 - 7 20 - 11 11 - 7 +14.0      +7.0 17 +7.0 17 62.8 291 +13.6 22 +15.0 6
19 Cincinnati 99.9%   5   25 - 8 11 - 7 25 - 8 11 - 7 +13.4      +6.6 20 +6.8 18 63.0 290 +14.8 19 +14.2 7
22 Georgetown 100.0%   5   21 - 10 10 - 8 21 - 10 10 - 8 +13.0      +6.6 22 +6.5 22 65.2 244 +14.6 20 +13.6 8
23 Marquette 88.6%   10   20 - 14 9 - 9 20 - 14 9 - 9 +13.0      +6.6 21 +6.3 26 70.5 108 +11.6 36 +12.1 10
28 Villanova 99.6%   7   21 - 11 9 - 9 21 - 11 9 - 9 +12.6      +6.4 26 +6.2 29 69.5 137 +12.0 29 +11.8 11
32 St. John's 100.0%   5   21 - 11 12 - 6 21 - 11 12 - 6 +12.0      +6.0 32 +6.0 30 68.1 167 +13.9 21 +16.9 3
52 Seton Hall 0.0%   13 - 18 7 - 11 13 - 18 7 - 11 +9.5      +4.6 54 +4.9 49 72.4 68 +6.1 83 +8.7 12
70 Rutgers 0.0%   15 - 17 5 - 13 15 - 17 5 - 13 +7.4      +3.7 69 +3.7 70 63.7 273 +6.3 78 +5.2 13
86 Providence 0.0%   15 - 17 4 - 14 15 - 17 4 - 14 +5.2      +2.7 85 +2.5 88 80.4 12 +4.7 99 +3.3 14
112 South Florida 0.0%   10 - 23 3 - 15 10 - 23 3 - 15 +3.4      +1.6 113 +1.7 111 60.2 322 +1.7 143 +0.8 15
194 DePaul 0.0%   7 - 24 1 - 17 7 - 24 1 - 17 -1.7      -0.8 192 -0.9 194 74.0 46 -3.6 220 -5.0 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Pittsburgh 1.0 100.0
Notre Dame 2.0 100.0
Louisville 3.0 100.0
Syracuse 3.0 100.0
Connecticut 9.0 100.0
West Virginia 6.0 100.0
Cincinnati 6.0 100.0
Georgetown 8.0 100.0
Marquette 9.0 100.0
Villanova 9.0 100.0
St. John's 3.0 100.0
Seton Hall 12.0 100.0
Rutgers 13.0 100.0
Providence 14.0 100.0
South Florida 15.0 100.0
DePaul 16.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Pittsburgh 15 - 3 100.0
Notre Dame 14 - 4 100.0
Louisville 12 - 6 100.0
Syracuse 12 - 6 100.0
Connecticut 9 - 9 100.0
West Virginia 11 - 7 100.0
Cincinnati 11 - 7 100.0
Georgetown 10 - 8 100.0
Marquette 9 - 9 100.0
Villanova 9 - 9 100.0
St. John's 12 - 6 100.0
Seton Hall 7 - 11 100.0
Rutgers 5 - 13 100.0
Providence 4 - 14 100.0
South Florida 3 - 15 100.0
DePaul 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Pittsburgh 100.0% 100.0
Notre Dame
Louisville
Syracuse
Connecticut
West Virginia
Cincinnati
Georgetown
Marquette
Villanova
St. John's
Seton Hall
Rutgers
Providence
South Florida
DePaul


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Pittsburgh 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   44.9 45.4 9.2 0.5 0.0 100.0%
Notre Dame 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   28.9 56.3 14.2 0.6 100.0%
Louisville 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   1.0 8.1 39.5 46.4 4.9 100.0%
Syracuse 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.6 6.6 37.5 48.8 6.5 0.0 100.0%
Connecticut 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3   0.5 7.8 51.3 38.4 2.1
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 1.6 18.8 69.4 10.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Cincinnati 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 5   0.1 1.3 35.9 45.5 15.3 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Georgetown 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 0.1 4.1 33.8 58.9 3.1 0.0 100.0%
Marquette 88.6% 0.0% 88.6% 10   0.0 0.1 1.1 5.3 14.4 29.7 27.9 10.2 0.0 11.4 88.6%
Villanova 99.6% 0.0% 99.6% 7   0.0 4.3 28.3 43.6 20.0 3.4 0.1 0.4 99.6%
St. John's 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.3 6.0 71.4 21.7 0.8 0.0 100.0%
Seton Hall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Providence 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Pittsburgh 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.6% 71.8% 47.5% 27.5% 15.0% 7.6%
Notre Dame 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 93.0% 64.3% 38.2% 19.0% 8.9% 4.0%
Louisville 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 83.8% 55.3% 26.9% 12.7% 6.0% 2.5%
Syracuse 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 81.9% 52.7% 24.9% 11.4% 4.9% 1.9%
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 82.9% 52.1% 24.0% 10.2% 4.2% 1.6%
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 67.2% 33.0% 12.2% 5.5% 2.1% 0.8%
Cincinnati 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 63.5% 28.0% 11.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.4%
Georgetown 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 64.6% 29.8% 9.7% 4.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Marquette 88.6% 4.2% 87.0% 46.9% 17.6% 7.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Villanova 99.6% 0.0% 99.6% 57.9% 20.5% 8.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
St. John's 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 58.9% 23.5% 7.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Seton Hall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 10.9 0.0 11.8 88.1
1st Round 100.0% 10.9 0.0 13.4 86.5
2nd Round 100.0% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.1 10.0 21.3 29.0 23.9 10.3 1.8
Sweet Sixteen 100.0% 4.5 0.1 0.8 5.0 16.1 28.3 28.6 15.7 4.7 0.7 0.1
Elite Eight 95.7% 2.2 4.3 22.3 36.8 26.1 8.8 1.5 0.1
Final Four 73.0% 1.0 27.0 47.2 22.3 3.3 0.2
Final Game 41.8% 0.5 58.2 37.3 4.5
Champion 20.0% 0.2 80.0 20.0